Gold's Odds of Gaining

When the U.S. Dollar Index is above 109, as long as the Real Federal Funds Rate is less than 2% (it is currently -6.19%), gold gains over the following 12 months 100% of the time and achieves an average gain of 31.72%.

When the U.S. Dollar Index is above 109, as long as the Real Federal Funds Rate is less than 2% (it is currently -6.19%), gold gains over the following 6 months 97.11% of the time and achieves an average gain of 17.1%.

When the U.S. Dollar Index is above 109, as long as the Real Federal Funds Rate is less than 2% (it is currently -6.19%), gold gains over the following 3 months 86.44% of the time and achieves an average gain of 5.7%.